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Mining the Moon: Not Just Pie in the Sky
Many investors these days are putting their dollars into the emerging markets of eastern Europe and Asia. If a former astronaut has his way, however, they will shift their attention to another business frontier -- one about 240,000 miles away.
If a Helium 3-based fusion reactor were to be developed and introduced in 2015, Schmitt predicted, it could capture half the U.S. electricity-production market by 2050. Other commercial uses for fusion technology might include medical-isotope production and mine-detection equipment. But the pursuit of profit should not be the only reason to invest in the moon's resources, Schmitt suggested. With the world's population expected to reach 10 billion people by 2050, it's crucial to develop cheaper, more efficient, and environmentally safer energy sources than fossil fuels and fission reactors. Continuing to rely on fossil fuels for energy-production could increase the "greenhouse gases" in Earth's atmosphere, Schmitt said, while nuclear reactors now use fission technology, which produces high levels of radioactive waste. A Helium 3-based fusion reactor, however, could generate energy with less radioactivity, higher efficiency, and probably a lower cost.
"If all of this is so attractive, then why hasn't it been pursued more vigorously?" he asked. "There are two good reasons. One of them is that the physics is tougher. You also need a fuel supply." While the U.S. government has been reluctant to invest in such a project, having already spent billions of dollars on other energy research, Schmitt noted that Japan is investing "something like $40 million a year [in] the technology of developing a reactor system compatible with Helium 3."
Earth's inventories of Helium 3 are very low, but there are an estimated one million tons on the lunar surface, mainly imbedded in an ore called ilmenite. To tap into the moon's huge supply of Helium 3, researchers will have to find ways to get mining equipment there and carry it back to Earth more cheaply, Schmitt said. Even so, the capital needed to support such a venture could amount to about $10-15 billion over a 15-year period.
"Is $15 billion an unreasonable capital requirement on the part of the private sector? Probably not," he said, citing the Trans-Alaskan Pipeline and the Eurotunnel as private projects that cost a similar amount of money. "We're talking about a scale of investment that is not outside the scale of what has already happened."
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